This will combine several ideas that many people have already put forward, and combine my working knowledge of how bankruptcy works, under the general assumption that UST is a debt-like instrument, given it was billed as “safe”, that 1 UST would always be equal to 1 dollar, and supposed to be backed by $3.5B of BTC. I am also assuming that LUNA is an equity-like instrument, given it would absorb the volatility to maintain UST, and no guarantees were made regarding its price.
First, I think @FatMan 's proposal is a good idea. Anchor was marketed as a safe savings account, and if you can make the vast majority of UST holders whole (including ~99.2% of Anchor wallet holders), I think this will improve sentiment and rebuild trust which will be crucial for any future LUNA has. For more details, see below.
Now this proposal doesn’t address what to do if LFG or @dokwon either don’t have the bitcoin/funds or are not legally obligated to use the Bitcoin to make people whole. Now whether that constitutes fraud given we were told $3.5B bitcoin was going to back UST is a different question, but @wlawyer (@wlawyer2) seemed to think even if there is BTC remaining, that Jump Capital may have a claim on the BTC and there is no claim on it for UST holders.
I propose if this isn’t funded by a LFG or a potential white knight (CZ Finance and Vitalik have been supportive, although not stepped forward to provide relief as of the time of this post), that it is paid with existing swap fees (wallet address here: Terra Finder). These are paid out as APY to LUNA stakers (for details on LUNA tokenomics, see: https://twitter.com/pedroexplore1/status/1524216974611517443?s=20&t=8UGosjeZHobrMDw-jm7f6Q).
Any UST holders not made whole can then be given 3 options.
- lock up UST and have it repaid over time with a percentage of future swap fees that are used to buy USDC/USDT and can swap out 1:1 over a time period until everyone is repaid in full.
- convert their UST into equity whether that’s in the form of LUNA or a fork token.
- sell UST on the market, which is currently trading at ~$0.18 on the $1.00.
Once UST is repaid I propose it is burned to retire it. Now, if UST is burned or locked up, this could support a bid on exchanges, by decreasing the liquid supply, and allow LUNA or a fork to move forward discharged of the UST liability.
So what happens to UST holders not made whole and LUNA holders? Well this is where it likely makes sense to fork after making a good faith effort to make the majority of UST holders whole. UST holders who are not made whole (whales), and LUNA holders would get a new token (equity-like) in whatever the new fork is. I believe a fork is probably cleaner than LUNA currently is given people’s equity was severely diluted, and you need to make sure builders and the community who made Terra what it was have a part in its future success.
I am not a developer, so I am not sure what that would look like, but it could be something similar to @dokwon 's proposal.
I do not want to propose a concrete allocation, but hypothetically, it could look something like:
~30% to UST holders not made whole or who choose not to participate in the lock drop to retire UST
~30% to LUNA holders before de-pegging event
~20% to builders to incentivize them to stay and create value (the chain won’t be worth anything if nobody continues to build)
~10% community development fund
~10% to LUNA holders after de-pegging event
I believe the key focal points are:
- Make small wallets as whole as possible. It is crucial to rebuild trust, if LUNA or a fork chain will have any chance of survivial. It has been really sad to read about people committing suic*de who put their entire life savings into anchor.
- Give ownership to builders to incentivize them to stick around. Otherwise there is no value in LUNA or a fork.
Lastly, if you want a solution, I encourage everyone to put pressure on developers, validators, influencers, and Terra backers to commit to building and to finding a solution. If not, projects will likely slowly move to other chains, and we will be completely abandoned and left with nothing.