So what figure do you think Luna 2.0 will start at on the 27th
$2 or $3
$1 or slightly under
We can buy lollipops and candies with the airdrop “refund”
This is all very easy to calculate.
A: Pick a number of Billion you think the new market cap will be, the reasonable range is 1 to 60 billion (max combined previous luna+ust market cap). Example:
B: Divide that number by 0.24. Example: 5/0.24 =
20.83 per luna-v2
C: To work out how many new luna-v2 you will have for post attack luna, divide your total post attack luna by 65,337.635. Example: 1,000,000 LUNA / 65,337.635 =
D: To work out how many new luna-v2 you will have at the start, multiple your total luna v2 by 0.3. Example: 15.30511473 luna-v2 * 0.3 =
4.59153441 luna-v2. Remainder vested over 2 years.
Here is a simple table of market cap, and corresponding price per luna-v2 at the initial distribution:
2b: 8.3334 3b: 12.5000 4b: 16.6667 5b: 20.8334 6b: 25.0000 7b: 29.1667 8b: 33.3334 9b: 37.5000 10b: 41.6667 11b: 45.8334 12b: 50.0000 13b: 54.1667 14b: 58.3334 15b: 62.5000 16b: 66.6667 17b: 70.8334 18b: 75.0000 19b: 79.1667 20b: 83.3334 21b: 87.5000 22b: 91.6667 23b: 95.8334 24b: 100.0000 25b: 104.1667 26b: 108.3334 27b: 112.5000 28b: 116.6667 29b: 120.8334 30b: 125.0000 31b: 129.1667 32b: 133.3334 33b: 137.5000 34b: 141.6667 35b: 145.8334 36b: 150.0000 37b: 154.1667 38b: 158.3334 39b: 162.5000 40b: 166.6667
i doubt it will go over 2b considering everyone is gonna cash out what they can
nice chart. btw currently ust would get you twice as many new luna for same $ invested compared to luna
Very good chart, thanks.
However most airdropped projects rarely have over $200M market cap in the beginning. Let’s wait and see.
Currently the market thinks it’s around $10 going by the current LUNA CLASSIC price. I wonder how close they are.
lol where can i even sell this v2 junk?
why do you have to guess a market cap?
the question is what is the very starting price at which the token will be trated at launch?
my answer is: whatever the highest price a bidder is willing to pay for, I guess
is this the way it works, or the launch price is predetermined?
I can only imagine the sell pressure at genesis…
It’s nice to see a smart reply, thank you. I have more hope now in terra community
You literally know nothing about starting market cap of airdrops. Please check ENS or APE. 2 and 3B MC
if my quick sums are correct, the initial circulating supply could be as low as 120m after you factor in wallets which were excluded from airdrop - which would imply doubling all the figures in the table. We need to see how it’s calculated at genesis however.
Thanks for your kind words muniel. I haven’t been in APE or ENS but I’ve mostly been in the Cosmos ecosystem of airdrops and they were pretty low. Could be different there.
Wow so does this mean people will become millions over night. I guess we’ll see
if the initial supply is at 120M, than I’d expect that Luna 2.0 would be start anywhere between $50-$100 and drop off immediately since people will sell off asap
It will start at 10$, but 1 minute later you will see below 1$. So you better be quick.